›› 2012, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (2): 104-108.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-5619.2012.02.007

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Algorithms of Likelihood Ratio for Discriminating Full Sibling from Half Sibling

ZHAO SHU-MIN1, ZHANG LIN-NA2, ZHANG SU-HUA1, ZHANG NA1, ZHAO ZHEN-MIN1, LI CHENG-TAO1   

  1. (1. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Forensic Medicine, Institute of Forensic Science, Ministry of Justice, P.R.China, Shanghai 200063, China; 2. Department of Biology, Beijing No.9 Middle School, Beijing 100041, China)
  • Online:2012-04-25 Published:2012-04-28

Abstract: Objective To derive the formulae for likelihood ratio calculation in discriminating full sibling from half sibling with single-parent participation or without parent participation. Methods Null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis were established for discriminating full sibling from half sibling in two circumstances: two children with single-parent and without parent participation. Conditional probabilities of the genetic evidentiary under null and alternative hypotheses were calculated according to the Bayesian theory. The likelihood ratios were established with the conditional probability under alternative hypothesis division that under null hypothesis, followed with simplification. All the formulae were validated in a real case. Results While mother or fathers’ genetic information available in differentiating full sibling from half sibling, 14 different genotype combinations could be shared by the two detected children at a given locus and the likelihood ratio could be calculated with 5 different formulae respectively. While both parents’ genetic information unavailable, 11 different genotype combinations could be shared and the likelihood ratio could be calculated with 7 different formulae respectively. It was validated in a real case that the power of the likelihood ratio method developed for discriminating full sibling from half sibling with single-parent participation was higher than that of the ratio of full sibling index over half sibling index. Conclusion The formulae of likelihood ratio developed are useful for discriminating full sibling from half sibling with single-parent participation or without parent participation.

Key words: forensic genetics, sibling relations, likelihood ratio

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